How the Bookies See It
- Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton 5/6, Nico Rosberg 7/4, Daniel Ricciardo 10/1 – Ladbrokes
- Drivers’ Championship: Nico Rosberg 2/9, Lewis Hamilton 10/3 – William Hill
- Lewis Hamilton continued his late-season comeback by winning the Mexican Grand Prix at the end of October, and that helped him to close the gap between himself and his Mercedes team mate Nico Rosberg in the race for the Drivers’ Championship. Hamilton started the race in pole position, and his win was fairly straightforward, despite running wide at the first turn. The Brit has now won eight of this year’s races, and currently stands on 330 points, putting him 19 points behind Rosberg for the Championship.
- Nico Rosberg finished in second place in Mexico, and if he can repeat that feat in both Brazil and Abu Dhabi then he is certain to win the 2016 Championship title. However, it wasn’t as easy for Rosberg to achieve his finishing position as it was for Hamilton, because the German driver was shunted at the first corner. Fortunately, he dealt with the situation admirably and didn’t seem too disappointed to finish in second place – probably because, with nine wins and 349 points, that’s all he needs to do to stay ahead of Hamilton for the season as a whole.
- Daniel Ricciardo has still won just one race this season, but he has achieved a podium position on several other occasions, and that has helped him to earn 242 points and third place in the Drivers’ Championship table. The Australian started in fourth position on the grid in Mexico, and finished in that same position, but third-placed Sebastian Vettel was penalised by 10 seconds for moving in the braking zone, and that promoted Ricciardo to third place.
It may be late in the season, but Lewis Hamilton still has a chance of winning the 2016 Drivers’ Championship if he puts in a similar performance to those in his last two races and Rosberg slips up at some point. Whilst he won’t be happy knowing that two more wins could still see his rival win the title, finishing the season on a winning run would soften the blow a little and put him in a determined mood for next year.
Whilst Hamilton will need to go all-out to win if he is to have a chance of winning the Championship, Rosberg is in the enviable position for just needing to finish second or better on the final two races. That may enable him to drive a more cautious race, but he won’t want to be so cautious that he ends up being relegated to third place or worse by a driver with less to lose.
Rosberg will be just as keen to win as anyone else, especially since doing so would give him the Championship, but we doubt that he will be overly aggressive. That being the case, if Hamilton can secure a good starting position in Brazil, and he drives as he did in Mexico, he should be hard to beat.
- Sports.net’s Top Tip: Lewis Hamilton to win the Brazilian Grand Prix at 5/6 – Ladbrokes
*Please note, odds may change as the race approaches.