2017 King George VI Chase Betting Preview

Horse Racing
Updated Wednesday 27th December 2017, 02:00 PM

Many horse racing fans look forward to Boxing Day’s King George VI Chase almost as much – and sometime even more – than to the Christmas festivities themselves, and for good reason. The Grade 1 National Hunt Chase was first run in 1937, and has taken place on 26 December since 1947, so it has been a holiday highlight for quite some time, and its generous purse attracts some of the best thoroughbreds in the business. Last year’s event was won – exactly as we predicted – by Thistlecrack, so let’s take a look at how things are priced up this year and see if we can’t make it two from two…

How the Bookies See It:

  • Winner: Might Bite 6/4, Bristol De Mai 7/2, Fox Norton 6/1, Thistlecrack 6/1, Whisper 10/1, 16/1 bar – Sky Bet

Form

  • Might Bite will be coming to the 2017 King George VI Chase on the back of an eight-length win in the Future Stars Intermediate Chase (Listed) on 12 November. The eight-year-old, which is trained by Nicky Henderson, has won 8 races from 13 starts, and those figures include 5 wins from 8 in chases. This horse has run four races this year, and won all of them, and looks to be a worthy favourite, with an Official Rating of 162.
  • Bristol De Mai has had six races in 2017, and won three of them, including its last two, which were ran in November. The six-year-old has run 22 races, and has won 8 of those and placed in another 7, with a chase record of 7 wins and 5 places from 16 races. Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies, Bristol De Mai has an Official Rating of 160, and won very easily in the Grade 1 Betfair Chase last time out, so should go well again.
  • Fox Norton has won 10 races from 22, and placed in 4. With 8 wins and 2 places from 16 chase events, the runner boasts a strike rate of 50% in this type of race, and has won 3 out of 6 races in 2017. Trained by Colin Tizzard, Fox Norton will come here to make amends for a 2nd place finish in the Betfair Tingle Creek Chase, which saw Politologue beat him by just half a length. 
  • Thistlecrack won this race in 2016, and has had just two outings since. Those resulted in a 2nd place finish in the Betbright Royal Cotswold Chase in January, and a 5th place finish in the Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle at the beginning of December. Both of those were Grade 2 events, so he isn’t in the same form as he was a year ago, but we wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Thistlecrack make the frame here, with 13 wins and 2 places from 20 career races, and an extremely impressive 4 wins and 1 place from 5 chases.
  • Whisper has won 11 from 24 races and placed in 8, whilst winning 3 from 7 chases and placing in 4. That gives this Nicky Henderson runner a chase strike rate of 42.86%, and Whisper’s most recent run was on 2 December, when he finished 2nd in a field of 20 in the Grade 3 Ladbrokes Trophy Chase. 

Sports.net’s View

Might Bite looks like a very solid favourite for the 2017 King George VI Chase, and anyone who wants to place a win-only bet in this event could do much worse than to side with him. Bristol De Mai could give him most to do, and would himself make a worthy favourite should Might Bite be withdrawn for any reason. 

As far as we are concerned, whilst Thistlecrack doesn’t have the same kind of form as he did when coming to this race last year, we still fancy him to do rather well, and as he is currently available at a decent price, we will make him our selection to earn a place.

  • Sports.net’s top tip: Thistlecrack to Win (Each-Way) – 6/1 with Sky Bet

*Please note that odds will fluctuate as the race approaches.


Written By
Published:
Last Updated: Wednesday, 27 December 2017 02:00:15+00:00
Published By Sports.net

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