The ugly scenes towards the end of that match also may have affected the players as they let their lead slip, giving Croatia work to do at the Matmut Atlantique in Bordeaux to guarantee second place. They can also win the group with a win, but it is Spain who will begin as the favourites.
How the Bookies See it
- Match Winner: Spain 11/10, Draw 2/1, Croatia 16/5 - Betfred
- First Goalscorer: Aritz Aduriz 5/1, Alvaro Morata 5/1, No goalscorer 11/2 - Bet365
- Correct Score: Spain 1-0 5/1, Draw 1-1 6/1, Draw 0-0 6/1 - BetVictor
Gerard Pique’s late goal sealed a 1-0 victory over Czech Republic in Spain’s opening match. The defending champions then swept aside Turkey 3-0 to book their passage to the last 16.
Croatia began their Euro 2016 campaign with a 1-0 victory over Turkey thanks to Luka Modric’s sweet volley, but they were then pegged back from 2-0 up as they drew with Czech Republic and are not yet guaranteed to finish second.
Spain looked back to their best in Friday night’s win over Turkey and are now most bookies’ tip to win Euro 2016 at around 3/1. Odds of 11/10 on a Spanish win against Croatia therefore look decent value, although they might just take their foot off the gas after confirming qualification and make changes to the team to keep players fresh for the latter stages.
Croatia are also a very technically accomplished side and have won as many admirers as almost anyone for their stylish displays, but the crowd disturbances in the last game can’t have helped the team to focus and they are set to be without the inspirational Modric as he recovers from a groin problem ahead of the knockout rounds.
The type of game played by both sides suggests there is a chance they will cancel each other out, while the tournament so far has hardly been full of goals, so another low-scoring affair could be on the cards. Odds of 4/7 with Paddy Power on the total number of goals being under 2.5 seem well worth taking, while you could even go further and pick out one of the correct score bets. As there isn’t much to choose between the teams and both would probably be satisfied with a draw, a punt on 1-1 or 0-0 could be the way to go.
- Sports.net’s top tip: Correct Score 1-1 - 6/1 at BetVictor
*Please note, odds are likely to fluctuate before kick-off