How the Bookies See it
- Winner: France 7/4, Draw 19/10, Germany 2/1 - Paddy Power
- To Qualify: France 10/11, Germany 10/11 - Betfred
- First Goalscorer: Olivier Giroud 11/2, Thomas Muller 11/2, Antoine Griezmann 13/2 - William Hill
- Germany looked far from convincing in their first two games, but still managed to collect four points from a possible six against Ukraine and Poland. Joachim Löw’s men rounded off the group stage with an emphatic 1-0 win over Northern Ireland before following it up with a 3-0 thrashing of Slovakia in the Round of 16. Germany faced arguably their first real test against Italy in the quarterfinals, a game which went the distance after finishing 1-1. The Azzurri were dispatched on spot kicks, although the Germans did seem to lack their usual efficiency from 12 yards.
- France topped their group, but lacked the ability to kill off teams early in the game. Two late victories over Romania and Albania came before a drab 0-0 draw with Switzerland. Les Bleus suffered a shock in the Round of 16 as Ireland took the lead inside two minutes, but a double from Antoine Griezmann guided the hosts safely through. Another potential banana skin lay in wait in the quarterfinal, but Iceland were disposed of with ease as the Euro 2000 champions ran out 5-2 winners.
The quarterfinal saw the current crop of German players do something that no other side from their nation has ever done before and overcome Italy at a major international tournament. The Azzurri did manage to find a way past Manuel Neuer, but were ultimately foiled by the world’s best ‘keeper in the penalty shootout. In their last competitive meeting with France, Germany emerged victorious before going onto win the World Cup in Brazil two years ago, and punters should expect another tight contest this time round. Bet365 have odds of 6/4 that the game will contain fewer than 1.5 goals, while a 1-0 Germany win is priced at 7/1 with BetVictor.
Bayern Munich striker Thomas Müller is enduring a torrid competition so far and has failed to find the net this summer, even missing his penalty against Italy in the shootout. Germany may be forced to rely on their frontman and hope he can rediscover his form following the hamstring injury picked up by Mario Gomez. Müller is 6/1 with Coral to hit the first goal in this bout, while a goal for the striker at any point during the 90 minutes is 29/10 with 888Sport. In their quest to reach the final, the Germans won’t mind where their goals come from, as was evident when Jerome Boateng smashed home a shot against Slovakia in the Round of 16. Expect the centre-backs to venture forward for in-swinging corners and really trouble the French backline. Mats Hummels is 16/1 with Bet365 to score anytime, while Boateng is an equally tempting 20/1 with Betfred.
France finally showed what they are capable of as they steamrollered a brave Iceland side in their quarterfinal. Didier Deschamps’ men were ruthless in dispatching one of the tournament's surprise packages and finally managed to break their hoodoo of not scoring before half time. Paddy Power have the hosts priced at 12/5 to repeat this feat and lead at the interval, while BetVictor have France to win both halves at odds of 15/2.
After their masterclass against Iceland, France are now the tournament's top scorers and Antoine Griezmann leads the way with four of their 11 goals. The Atletico frontman is 13/2 to break the deadlock, while strike partner Olivier Giroud, who is just behind on three goals, is 11/2 with William Hill. At the opposite end, Hugo Lloris suffered twice at the hands of Iceland and could find himself susceptible to a number of dangerous attacks during this game. The France captain is 7/4 with Coral to keep the German juggernaut at bay, but a far more tempting bet may be for the Spurs stopper to concede in both halves - 4/1 with William Hill. Providing the pressure from the home crowd does not affect the players, expect a tight game that could go either way.
- Sports.net’s top tip: Germany to win and both teams to score 6/1 - Bet365
*Please note that odds may fluctuate in the run up to kick-off.