Wimbledon 2016: Men's Third Round Betting Tips

Tennis
Friday 1st July 2016, 09:20 AM

The third round of Wimbledon is when the seeded players start to collide and matches become increasingly tight. The top three in the world have so far made serene progress to the last 32 and the bookies do not anticipate any major problems for either Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray or Roger Federer in round three, but the number of markets available for each match means there are still lots of betting opportunities.

How the Bookies See it

  • Novak Djokovic v Sam Querrey: Djokovic 1/66, Querrey 16/1 - Ladbrokes
  • John Millman v Andy Murray: Murray 1/50, Millman 14/1 - William Hill
  • Roger Federer v Dan Evans: Federer 1/25, Evans 9/1 - Coral

Form

  • Djokovic has come through his first two rounds in straight sets, taking his number of consecutive wins in Grand Slam matches to an incredible 30. Querrey came from two sets down to beat Lukas Rosol 12-10 in the fifth, before a more straightforward victory over Thomaz Bellucci.
  • Murray has dropped just 15 games in total in his opening two matches, having swept past Liam Broady and Yen-Hsun Lu. Millman needed five sets to defeat Albert Montanes and then knocked out 26th seed Benoit Paire in four.
  • Federer has not dropped a set yet but had to come through two tie-breaks against Guido Pella and then found himself in the unusual position of having the crowd against him as he beat British outsider Marcus Willis. Evans edged out Jan-Lennard Struff in the first round before ousting 30th seed Alexandr Dolgopolov in impressive fashion.

Sports.net’s view

None of the top three seeds should lose their third-round matches, but the short odds don’t offer much value in terms of just backing them to win, so scouring the other markets is a good idea. For Djokovic and Querrey, it may be worth a look at the betting for the correct score in the first set. Querrey has a huge serve and it may take a while for Djokovic to start working his magic on the returns, so a tight start could be on the cards. William Hill has odds of 23/10 that the first set will finish 7-6 either way, but the odds at Coral are even better if you can pick which player will edge it and a price of 7/1 on Djokovic to win the first set on a tie-break are very tempting.

While Querrey has the power to make life awkward for Djokovic, Murray should be far too strong for Millman and even odds of 3/10 with Coral on a straight-sets victory look quite generous. There are various other options when you think it is going to be a one-sided contest, including the winning margin and games handicap markets, but the best bet here looks to be for the total number of games. Sky Bet is offering 5/6 that there will be under 28.5 games, which equates to a 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 victory or better for Murray, and given his current form that is worth a punt.

Federer swatted aside world no.772 Willis in the last round and will be hoping for a similarly convincing win over Evans in round three. However, Federer has not looked quite at his best yet and only recently returned from a long injury lay-off, while Evans is playing with a lot of confidence. It may be too much to even expect that Evans will win a set, but he should have his moments and compete well, so a winning margin of just five, six or seven games at 5/4 with Paddy Power could offer a decent return.

  • Sports.net’s top tip: Total number of games in John Millman v Andy Murray - under 28.5 at 5/6 with Sky Bet

*Please note, odds may fluctuate in the lead-up to matches.

Published: Friday, 1 July 2016 09:20:13+00:00
Published By Sports.net

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