How the Bookies See It
- Winner: Rory McIlroy 7/1, Jordan Spieth 8/1, Dustin Johnson 12/1, Hideki Matsuyama 12/1 – Ladbrokes
- Leader After Round 1: Rory McIlroy 12/1, Jordan Spieth 16/1, Dustin Johnson 20/1, Hideki Matsuyama 22/1 – Paddy Power
- Two Chances to Win: McIlroy or Spieth 100/30, Spieth or D Johnson 4/1, D Johnson or Matsuyama 11/2 – Sky Bet
- Rory McIlroy has yet to win an event on the PGA Tour this year. He missed the cut in the US Open and tied for 17th place in the Travelers Championship back in June, but his form has been improving more recently. He tied for 4th place in the Open Championship in the latter half of July, and then tied for 5th in the Bridgestone Invitational, which took place last week. All of that means that McIlroy is heading in the right direction to achieve his first win of the year as he approaches the PGA Championship, and if he succeeds it will be the third victory of his career in this event.
- Jordan Spieth has won three PGA Tour events this year, and those were in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am tournament in February, the Travellers Championship in June and the Open Championship in July. Spieth also achieved a 3rd place finish in the Sony Open in Hawaii in January and a T2 finish in the DEAN & DELUCA invitational at the end of May. Spieth has now won all of the majors except the PGA Championship, so he has a very strong incentive to finally add this event to his CV this weekend.
- Dustin Johnson has also won three PGA Tour events this year, which is the same number of wins that he had in 2016 and therefore put him in a good position to have his best year ever. His 2017 wins were achieved in the Genesis Open in February, the Mexico Championship in March and the WGC-Dell Match Play tournament, also in March. Johnson failed to make the cut in the US Open, and had a disappointing T54 finish in the Open Championship, but a win in the PGA Championship could go some way to compensating for those results.
- Hideki Matsuyama is currently enjoying the best year of his career, with three of his five PGA Tour wins having been achieved in 2017. His first win this year was in the HSBC Champions event, and he then won the Waste Management Phoenix Open and the Bridgestone Invitational just last week. Matsuyama has yet to win a major, and his best result in the PGA Championship was last year, when he tied for 4th place.
As always, there are plenty of other contenders who could do well in this competition, but the quartet highlighted here are the ones with the best chances according to current form. We are a little surprised that Rory McIlroy is the favourite, given that he hasn’t fared as well as any of the other three players in the leading group, and we are reluctant to side with him to suddenly find his groove this weekend.
Of the remaining three players, they are very difficult to choose between, but if pressed we would narrow it down to Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson, solely on the basis of them having more experience than Hideki Matsuyama. We will therefore take advantage of Sky Bet’s Two Chances to Win market, and bet on Spieth or D Johnson winning the fourth major of the year.
- Sports.net’s Top Tip – ‘Spieth or D Johnson’ in the Two Chances to Win market – 4/1 with Sky Bet
*Please note, odds may fluctuate.