How the Bookies See It
- Great Britain v Argentina: Great Britain 2/9, Argentina 3/1 - Sky Bet
- Croatia v France: France 8/15, Croatia 11/8 - Paddy Power
- Tournament Winner: Great Britain 1/1, France 13/8, Croatia 11/2, Argentina 12/1 - Ladbrokes
- Great Britain have not lost a Davis Cup tie since 2014 and booked their spot in the last four this year thanks to a 3-2 victory away to Serbia in July, when Kyle Edmund won both of his matches in straight sets to cover for the absence of star man Andy Murray. Edmund has kept his form going over the past couple of months and claimed the notable scalps of Richard Gasquet and John Isner on his way to the fourth round of the US Open. Andy Murray is back in the team to meet Argentina and has been playing superbly all summer, despite a surprise quarter-final exit at Flushing Meadows. He is likely to team up with brother Jamie in the doubles, as the pair seek to extend a record of being unbeaten together in five Davis Cup matches.
- Argentina have already had two tricky away ties in the 2016 World Group, having had to battle past Poland and Italy to reach the last four. The major positive for Argentina is the return to singles action of Juan Martin del Potro, who only played in the doubles against Italy. Del Potro made it to the Olympic final before losing to Murray and showed that he is almost back to his best after also advancing to the US Open quarter-finals, before being knocked out by eventual champion Stan Wawrinka. Argentina’s other options for singles, Federico Delbonis and Guido Pella, are more renowned for their clay-court prowess and may not enjoy the indoor surface in Glasgow.
- Croatia started their 2016 campaign by defeating last season’s beaten finalists Belgium before claiming a 3-2 win over the United States thanks to Borna Coric’s four-set victory against Jack Sock in the deciding rubber. Coric will hope to play a full part in the semi-final after having to retire from his first-round match at the US Open due to injury, and will join Marin Cilic in a formidable team. Cilic has had a decent season, pushing Roger Federer to five sets at Wimbledon and winning the Cincinnati Masters, although he was knocked out in the third round of the US Open.
- France have cruised into the last four on the back of a convincing 5-0 win over Canada and 3-1 victory against the Czech Republic. They can boast the world’s top-ranked doubles pair in Nicolas Mahut and Pierre-Hugues Herbert, as well as great strength in depth in singles. Gael Monfils, a US Open semi-finalist last week, is set to be the first-choice pick in the singles following Jo-Wilfried Tsonga’s withdrawal due to injury, while rising star Lucas Pouille is also in the squad and fresh from a confidence-boosting triumph over Rafael Nadal in New York.
Great Britain’s short odds to beat Argentina are understandable given Andy Murray’s presence in the squad and the home advantage of playing in front of a partisan crowd on a surface which will not suit the opposition. The major concern will obviously be Del Potro, who can be inspired when playing for his country and is one of the few players capable of testing Murray in his current form. However, Kyle Edmund is quickly emerging as a very effective second singles player and should win at least one of his singles rubbers, while the Murray brothers should prove so strong that even a tour de force from Del Potro might not be enough to derail Great Britain.
France’s tie with Croatia might represent better value, with bookies apparently less sure about who might come out on top. France are the slight favourites and they undoubtedly have the better doubles team and more singles options, but all their players could be vulnerable. Monfils and Pouille both looked as if they had nothing left in the tank after long runs at the US Open and Cilic has the power to win both of his singles matches for Croatia. Coric is also tipped as a future world no.1, so it could just be worth backing the home side in both semi-final ties.
- Sports.net’s Top Tip: A double on Great Britain and Croatia at 7/4 - Sky Bet
Please note, odds may fluctuate in the lead-up to the matches.