How the Bookies See it
- Match Winner: England 8/15, Draw 13/5, Iceland 7/1 - Sky Bet
- To Qualify: England 1/5, Iceland 19/5 - 888Sport
- First Goalscorer: Harry Kane 9/2, Daniel Sturridge 5/1, Jamie Vardy 5/1 - Paddy Power
- Correct Score: England 1-0 18/5, England 2-0 5/1, Draw 0-0 6/1 - BetVictor
- England conceded a late equaliser in their opening match as they drew 1-1 with Russia, before coming from behind to beat Wales 2-1 and then being frustrated in a goalless stalemate against Slovakia. The results left them second in Group B on five points, just behind Wales.
- Iceland also collected five points to come second in their group. They fought hard to claim 1-1 draws against Portugal and Hungary, and then nicked a last-gasp winner in their final group game as they defeated Austria 2-1.
- England and Iceland have only played twice before. The most recent meeting came in 2004, when England won 6-1 and a young Wayne Rooney scored twice.
The game is likely to follow a similar pattern to England’s first three matches of Euro 2016, with Roy Hodgson’s men seeing most of the ball and their opponents sitting deep and trying to keep it tight. England have struggled to carve out many clear opportunities in any of their fixtures so far and would love nothing more than a first-half goal to calm the nerves.
Iceland will try to prove similarly frustrating and have certainly defended doggedly in the tournament to date, but both Portugal and Austria created multiple chances against them and that will give England hope. Hodgson is likely to make several changes to his team after resting some players against Slovakia - a decision which was widely criticised but will at least leave key men like Rooney fresh for the Iceland match.
There has been a sense from England’s campaign up until this point that, while it hasn’t quite clicked yet, they are close to playing really well. There is probably not much value in a straight bet on England to win or even to qualify, but a correct score wager on 1-0 or 2-0 to England could provide a decent return. An even better punt could be on England to win to nil, which can be found at roughly evens with most bookmakers. Iceland may have provided one of the stories of the tournament so far but if England play to their potential and finally find a cutting edge, it should be fairly straightforward.
- Sports.net’s top tip: England to win to nil - 21/20 at BetVictor
*Please note, odds are likely to fluctuate in the run up to kick-off