How the Bookies See It
- Clarence House Chase: Un De Sceaux 8/11, Ar Mad 2/1, Sire De Grugy 7/1 – William Hill
- Coral.ie Chase: Haymount 6/1, Rogue Trader 7/1, Empire of Dirt 10/1 – Paddy Power
- Coral.ie Hurdle: Heartbreak City 5/2, After Rain 10/1, That’s a Wrap 10/1, Golden Spear 10/1 – Ladbrokes
- Un De Sceaux is an obvious favourite for the Clarence House Chase on Saturday (15:00 Ascot). The nine-year-old has notched up 13 wins from 18 starts, including six from ten in chases. Ar Mad has a better strike rate in chases, with four wins from six starts, but is less effective overall, having won five from ten starts in all jumps races. 11-year-old Sire De Grugy has enjoyed a longer career than both and has won 17 races from 39 starts, including 13 from 27 in chases.
- Haymount has won three races from ten starts, but has finished in the frame on eight occasions – including a second place finish last time out on 26th December – and has a 50% strike rate in chases. Rogue Trader has run 14 races and won five whilst placing in two others, and the eight-year-old has won two races from eight chase starts. Empire of Dirt will come to the Coral.ie Handicap Chase (14:40 Leopardstown, Sunday) on the back of three consecutive wins, and has won six times from a total of 22 races, with a strike rate of 30.76% in chases.
- Heartbreak City has won six from 23 races, including two from eight hurdles, and has placed on four occasions. After Rain has started in a total of ten races, nine of which were hurdles events, and has won twice, giving the seven-year-old a winning strike rate of 20%. That’s A Wrap has a 40% strike rate thanks to notching up four wins from ten starts (all hurdle races), and Golden Spear has five wins from a total of 27, including one success from eight starts in hurdles races.
Un De Sceaux has a fantastic record as a chaser, and whilst Ar Mad has a better strike rate in chases only, the favourite has achieved an overall strike rate of 72.22% and looks set to improve that in the Clarence House Chase on Saturday.
Haymount is a reasonable favourite for the Coral.ie Handicap Chase, but both Rogue Trader and Empire of Dirt could pose a very real threat, and we quite fancy the latter as an each-way shot with a fair chance of winning.
We think that the Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle on Sunday could see Heartbreak City and That’s A Wrap battle it out towards the finish, and we would prefer to side with That’s A Wrap at an each-way price.
As far as siding with a most-likely winner is concerned, we can’t look beyond Un De Sceaux in the Clarence House Chase on Saturday, but for betting purposes we will take an each-way interest in That’s A Wrap in the Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle on Sunday.
- Sports.net’s top tip: That’s A Wrap Each-Way in the Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle – 10/1 with Ladbrokes
*Please note that odds will fluctuate as the race approaches.