League One Play-off Final: Bradford City v Millwall Betting Tips

Football
Updated Sunday 21st May 2017, 11:25 AM


Bradford City and Millwall fans will descend on Wembley on Saturday afternoon for an occasion that is sure to be full of triumph and despair in equal measure, with one team set to take the step up to the Championship and the other destined to fall agonisingly short. Sports.net considers the main betting markets for the League One play-off final.

How the Bookies See it:

  • Match Winner: Millwall 17/10, Bradford 6/4, Draw 21/10 - Paddy Power
  • To Qualify/Lift The Trophy - Bradford 5/6, Millwall 5/6 - Sky Bet
  • First Goalscorer: Lee Gregory (MIL) 19/4, Charlie Wyke (BRA) 19/4, Steve Morison (MIL) 11/2 - BetVictor

Form

  • Bradford City booked their spot in the final after a 1-0 aggregate victory over Fleetwood Town. Rory McArdle scored the decisive goal in the first leg at Valley Parade and the Bantams held on to their advantage quite comfortably at Fleetwood.
  • Millwall knocked out Scunthorpe in the semi-finals, winning 3-2 at Glanford Park after a goalless first leg at home. The Lions fell behind to Ivan Toney’s goal, but a Steve Morison double and Lee Gregory strike turned the tie on its head. Stephen Dawson reduced Scunthorpe’s arrears, but Millwall survived a nervy final few minutes to reach Wembley.
  • Both previous matches between the teams this season finished 1-1. Millwall came out on top when they played Bradford in the 2015/16 League One play-off semi-finals, before losing to Barnsley at Wembley.

Sports.net’s View

The bookmakers’ odds suggest this match is too close to call. There has been nothing to choose between the teams in the two matches this season, they both came through the semi-finals by narrow margins and both have recent experience of playing at Wembley, with Millwall making their fifth visit to the national stadium in eight years and Bradford their third in four years.

Millwall’s firepower was evident in their victory over Scunthorpe and the likes of Steve Morison and Lee Gregory will again provide a major threat, but Bradford possess one of the finest defences in the league and have proved difficult to break down, and beat, all season. However, the Bantams have sometimes struggled to take their chances and will need to be more clinical at Wembley. In a game that is likely to be tight and tense, the odds of 9/4 on a draw at 90 minutes stand out as the most tempting.

The market for total goals might also be worth considering. While a glut of goals is unlikely due to the enormity of the occasion and both teams’ defensive discipline, a price of 12/5 at Bet365 on exactly two goals being scored in 90 minutes may be of interest. If either team falls behind, they will have to throw caution to the wind as the clock ticks down and that could result in either an equaliser or a breakaway second for the side in front.

  • Sports.net’s Top Tip - A draw at 90 minutes - 9/4 at Bet365

*Please note, odds may fluctuate.


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Last Updated: Sunday, 21 May 2017 11:25:09+00:00
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