Tour de France 2016: Stage 12 Betting Preview

Cycling
Updated Thursday 23rd February 2017, 03:31 PM


The 2016 Tour de France has already seen one big name fall to the wayside, with Alberto Contador abandoning on stage 9 after coming down with a fever. However, the real battle for the General Classification had gone on without him after he crashed in both of the first two stages. The yellow jersey has rested on several different shoulders so far, and finally came back to Froome on stage 8. Stage 12 will be where he tests his ability to keep it.

Thursday’s 178km stage starts off somewhat flat, then rolls somewhat as the peloton passes through Molleges and Cavaillon. Not long after that, the riders will encounter the one-two punch of the Cote de Gordes and the Col des Trois Termes, which are category 4 and 3 climbs respectively. A thrilling descent follows, but the long climb towards Chalet Reynard then beckons, with high winds dashing Chris Froome's hopes of winning another stage at the very top of Mont Ventoux. The sprinters will be in agony, the puncheurs will make the best of it, and the current GC contenders will be doing their best billy goat impressions as they try to make it to the top.

How the Bookies See it

  • Stage Winner: Chris Froome 9/4, Nairo Quintana 13/5, Richie Porte 11/1, Thibaut Pinot 7/1 - Paddy Power
  • Stage Winning Margin: 1 Second or Less 7/2, 2 Seconds or More 1/6 - Paddy Power
  • Stage Head-to-Heads: Romain Bardet 11/10 v Adam Yates 4/6, Richie Porte 4/6 v Dan Martin 11/10 - Paddy Power

Form

  • Froome has held the yellow jersey since a thrilling victory on the Col de Peyresourde in Stage 8. He’s in fine fettle and won on Mont Ventoux in 2013, and seems ready to repeat his performance in this year’s edition. While the race won't reach the summit this year, he's surely prepared for all eventualities.
  • Adam Yates has really stood out in this Tour, standing in second place in the GC and holding the white jersey for the young rider classification. The lad from Bury is 16 seconds behind Froome and has managed to come back from a rather terrifying encounter with an inflatable banner.
  • Nairo Quintana might be 23 seconds behind Froome, but that doesn’t mean that he can scoop an easy victory on one of the Tour’s most devastating climbs. He’ll need to keep a keen eye on the Sky leader and be ready to go at any point, though he has maintained to the press that he won’t be making any attacks that he feels are unnecessary.

Sports.net’s View

While Froome will most likely be safely nestled within the Team Sky train for most of the stage and then unleashed on the final climb, nothing is ever guaranteed in cycling, and Nairo Quintana, who has essentially been the bridesmaid to both of Froome’s Tour wins, will be eagle-eyed and ready for any moment in which he could catch the Briton and eat into his winning margin - or surpass it. This doesn’t meant that he has to attack  - it doesn’t seem like he wants to do so - but if the occasion calls for it, the quiet Colombian could pull off something magnificent.

No one should discount Adam Yates (Orica-BikeExchange), either, who has shown himself to be an incredible young rider and even a future GC contender. Even Dave Brailsford has praised the Bury native, saying that Yates should keep racing for the overall classification and make the best of his ‘terrific talent’.

  • Sports.net’s Top Tip: Froome to win Stage 12 - 9/4 at Paddy Power

*Please note that odds may fluctuate.


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Last Updated: Thursday, 23 February 2017 03:31:48+00:00
Published By Sports.net


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