How the Bookies See it
- Nick Kyrgios v Andy Murray: Murray 1/6, Kyrgios 5/1 - BetVictor
- Roger Federer v Steve Johnson: Federer 1/7, Johnson 9/2 - Bet365
- Richard Gasquet v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga: Gasquet 10/11, Tsonga 10/11 - William Hill
- Tournament Winner: Murray 10/11, Federer 7/2, Raonic 7/1, Kyrgios 12/1 - Ladbrokes
- Murray has won his opening three matches without dropping a set and has looked close to his brilliant best as he bids for a second Wimbledon title. Kyrgios has dropped four sets across his three matches so far and lost to Murray in the Australian Open, French Open and US Open in 2015.
- Federer may have missed several months of the season but his skills are definitely not rusty, having won three matches in straight sets. Johnson has claimed some notable scalps already, knocking out Jeremy Chardy and Grigor Dimitrov, and also won the Aegon Open in Nottingham right before Wimbledon to climb into the world’s top 30.
- Gasquet, a semi-finalist last year, has had to come from behind in his last two matches to beat Marcel Granollers and Albert Ramos-Vinolas. Tsonga also had to battle back in his third-round match to see off John Isner 19-17 in an epic fifth set.
Murray is playing exceptionally well, has never lost to Kyrgios at a Grand Slam and will have the Centre Court crowd on his side, while Kyrgios has had to struggle in all three of his matches. However, the Australian is the fourth favourite to win the tournament for a reason and it is hard to argue with his confident statement that he ‘has the tools’ to beat Murray. One strategy might be to jump on the back of whoever wins this match and back them to lift the trophy, but if you fancy a flutter you could look at Sky Bet’s ‘Set Exacta’ market, which offers fantastic odds as predicting the pattern of sets is no easy task. If you reckon Kyrgios’ thunderous serve will help him win the first set, but then Murray will come through in four, for example, you can get a price of 10/1.
Djokovic’s exit has left the path clear for Federer to reach yet another Wimbledon final, but Johnson is not to be taken lightly. The 26-year-old American is on an eight-match winning streak after landing the title in Nottingham, and could take a set off Federer at the very least. If you want to back Federer to win 3-1, Paddy Power has decent odds of 5/2.
The bookies cannot really split Gasquet and Tsonga, who both have fine Wimbledon records and are seeded seventh and 12th respectively. However, the key factor could be Tsonga’s marathon match against Isner in the previous round and how much he has left in the tank to face his fellow Frenchman. While both men are rated at 10/11 with William Hill, the smart money looks to be with Gasquet.
- Sports.net’s top tip: Roger Federer to beat Steve Johnson 3-1 - 5/2 at Paddy Power
*Please note, odds may fluctuate in the lead-up to matches