How the Bookies See It:
- Match Betting: Australia 1/4, England 3/1, Draw 18/1 – Ladbrokes
- Handicap Betting: England (+12) 10/11, Australia (-12) 10/11, Draw (12) 14/1 – Paddy Power
- Outright Four Nations Winner: Australia 4/11, New Zealand 11/4, England 9/1 – Sky Bet
- England beat Scotland 38-12 in their previous match on Saturday 5th November. That wasn’t a victory by as wide a margin as most people expected, and England were surprised by Scotland scoring the first two tries of the game, but the team recovered and ended with a victory. Tries were scored by Elliot Whitehead (twice), Mark Percival, Ryan Hall, Jermaine McGilvary, Luke Gale and Liam Farrel, and Luke Gale also scored four conversions. England are second in the Four Nations table, with one win and one loss from two games. They have scored 54 points and conceded 29.
- Australia’s previous match was against New Zealand, and the Kangaroos won that game 14-8. The winners were 10-0 up at half time thanks to tries from Blake Ferguson and Johnathan Thurston, as well as a Thurston conversion. He then added another two conversions in the second half and, whilst the Kiwis scored a couple of tries of their own, it wasn’t enough to deny Australia. The Kangaroos now top the table with two wins from two games. They have scored 68 points and conceded 20.
It should go without saying that England will come to this match with the desire to beat Australia, but they will need to perform better than they did against Scotland if they are to succeed. Whilst any win is laudable, they struggled at times against the Bravehearts and, although the team say that they will be in better shape for the coming match against Australia, we can’t justify betting on optimism.
Australia, by comparison, are at the top of the table for good reason. The fact that they beat New Zealand, the team that England lost to on 29th October, gives us more than enough reason to side with the favourites. Considering that the Kangaroos beat the Kiwis by 6 points, we think they should be able to beat England by more than double that, so we will bet on Australia to win in the -12 handicap market at Paddy Power.
- Sports.net’s top tip: Australia to win with a (-12) handicap – 10/11 with Paddy Power
*Please note that odds may fluctuate in the run-up to kick-off.