How the Bookies See it
- Winner: Germany 5/4, Draw 2/1, Italy 3/1 - Bet365
- Half Time/Full Time: Germany/Germany 14/5, Draw/Draw 3/1, Draw/Germany 19/5 - Coral
- Both Teams to Score: No 8/13, Yes 13/10 - BetVictor
- After looking less than convincing in their opening group games against Ukraine and Poland, Germany began to show their strength as they soundly beat Northern Ireland 1-0, before switching up a gear as they easily dispatched Slovakia in the Round of 16. The current world champions have netted six times in their four games so far and are the only team yet to concede a goal.
- Italy stunned a hotly-tipped Belgian side in their opening group game before overcoming Sweden with a late strike from Eder. A defeat to Ireland in their third game was a blotch on an otherwise faultless first-round record, but the result came as little surprise considering Antonio Conte’s decision to rest over half of his first team players. Many expected Italy’s campaign to end soon after as they took on the reigning champions Spain in a replay of the Euro 2012 final, but a spirited display ended the hopes of a third straight European crown for La Roja and produced scenes of wild celebration amongst Italian players and fans alike.
Germany made their victory over Slovakia look very easy and pretty much had the game sewn up after 45 minutes. Joachim Löw’s men have shown that they can be stereotypically efficient when it comes to killing off teams with early goals and the Group C winners are 16/5 with Coral to be leading after 30 minutes of this clash.
Germany will need to be on top form in front of goal if they are to break down a backline that has conceded just one goal at these championships. Mario Gomez is the side’s top scorer this summer with two goals to his name, and is 6/1 with BetVictor to break the deadlock first, while Thomas Müller, who is yet to experience the feeling of scoring at a European championship, is 11/2 with Paddy Power. For those hoping lightning can strike twice, Jerome Boateng is 40/1 with Boylesports to repeat his first-goal antics against the Italians.
Italy were widely written off before a ball had even been kicked this summer, but manager Antonio Conte has unleashed a side who are high on believe and filled with team spirit. Robbie Brady’s header for Ireland may have eliminated any chance Italy had of progressing through the tournament without conceding a goal, but the defence on show that night was far different from the usual Juventus-style rear guard that typically takes to the field. Gianluigi Buffon is 2/1 with Sky Bet to keep his third clean sheet of the competition, while Italy are 19/4 to win to nil with 888Sport. With two of the best defenses left at the championship, it wouldn’t be a total shock if this encounter ended 0-0 after 90 minutes - a 6/1 call with BetVictor. A fine display from either goalkeeper could decide the game, with either Buffon or Neuer being named man of the match coming in at 8/1 with BetVictor.
Germany have famously never beaten their European counterparts in eight attempts at major international tournaments, a record that this current crop of Italian players will be hoping can continue. Getting anything beyond Manuel Neuer may prove difficult, but Graziano Pelle, fresh from his strike against Spain, is charged with doing just that. The Southampton hitman is 7/1 to find the net first or 11/4 to score anytime, both with Bet365. However, don’t be surprised if this game goes beyond the 90 minute mark, with the winner being decided in extra time or from the spot.
- Sports.net’s top tip: - Germany to win on penalties 9/1 - BetVictor
*Please note that odds may fluctuate in the run up to kick-off.