Euro 2016 Preview: Poland v Portugal Betting Tips

Updated Thursday 30th June 2016, 10:58 PM

Poland will be looking to roll back the years by reaching the semi-finals of a major international tournament for the first time since the 1982 World Cup. Meanwhile Portugal, who scraped through Group F before dispatching a hotly-tipped Croatian side in the Round of 16, will be hoping to make it into the last four of the European Championships for the fifth time.

How the Bookies See it

  • Winner: Portugal 7/5, Draw 19/10, Poland 11/4 - Bet365
  • First Goalscorer: Cristiano Ronaldo 7/2, No Goalscorer 4/1, Robert Lewandowski 13/2 - Paddy Power
  • Half Time/Full Time: Draw/Draw 11/4, Portugal/Portugal 16/5, Draw/Portugal 4/1 - Coral


  • Poland made it safely out of Group C with 1-0 wins against Northern Ireland and Ukraine and a 0-0 draw with world champions Germany. Switzerland proved a tougher nut to crack in the last 16, as Xherdan Shaqiri’s outstanding bicycle kick cancelled out Jacub Błaszczykowski’s first-half strike. The Poles required penalties to progress to their first-ever European Championship quarter final and will be hoping that their sturdy defense will be up to the task of keeping Portugal at bay.
  • Portugal were left frustrated in Group F as they drew all three of their games against Iceland, Austria and Hungary. Cristiano Ronaldo looked to have rediscovered his form in front of goal after netting twice against Hungary, but he struggled to make it out of first gear as Portugal and Croatia both fired blanks for 117 minutes. The talismanic frontman did provide the key pass for Ricardo Quaresma to break Croatian hearts, but has looked bereft of ideas for much of this tournament.   

     ’s view

Poland haven’t been the most attractive side to watch this summer, but they have been able to get the job done. Clean sheets against Northern Ireland, Ukraine and most impressively, Germany, have shown that this team has a solid defense that is very difficult to break down. It took a piece of individual brilliance from Xherdan Shaqiri to ripple the back of Łukasz Fabiański’s net, a moment that the Polish stopper will be looking to avoid this time around. Poland are 7/4 with Bet365 to keep a fourth clean sheet in five games and 41/10 with 888sport to win to nil.

The White Eagles may have proved solid at the back, but their weakness lies upfront. With  Robert Lewandowski and Arkadiusz Milik netting 66 times during the 2015/16 campaign, goals should not be hard to come by for Poland. Unfortunately, Milik’s strike against Northern Ireland is the only goal the pair have managed all tournament, but as they prepare to face an ageing Portuguese defense, this could be their time to shine. Lewandowski is 13/2 with Coral to break the deadlock, while strike partner Milik is 8/1 with SkyBet. The team’s top scorer this summer, Jacub Błaszczykowski, is 13/2 with Bet365 to net at any time.

Portugal are yet to really find their footing at this tournament following a disappointing group phase. This was followed up with arguably one of the most disappointing games in European Championship history as the team played out an abysmal 117 minutes against Croatia without either side managing a single shot on target. Portugal have reached this stage without winning a game in 90 minutes and are 19/10 with SkyBet to register another draw, while BetVictor are offering odds of 8/1 on the Iberians breaking Polish hearts in extra time.

Two goals in a 3-3 draw with Hungary have done little to save Cristiano Ronaldo’s tournament so far. While the Portuguese captain remains the favourite amongst bookmakers to score first against Poland (7/2 with Paddy Power), punters may want to look towards former Manchester United winger Nani, who is 9/1 with Paddy Power, or another goal from super sub Ricardo Quaresma, a 10/1 shout with the same bookmaker. With neither side looking particularly handy in front of goal, fans should expect a tightly-fought contest that could go all the way.                 

  •’s top tip: - Either team to win on penalties 7/2 - SkyBet


*Please note, odds are likely to fluctuate in the run up to kick-off.

Last Updated: Thursday, 30 June 2016 10:58:18+00:00
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