How the Bookies See it
- Winner: Portugal 23/20, Draw 21/10, Wales 16/5 - Bet365
- First Goalscorer: Cristiano Ronaldo 10/3, Gareth Bale 5/1, No Goalscorer 5/1 - Coral
- Both Teams to Score: No 4/7, Yes 5/4 - Sky Bet
- Portugal were largely disappointing in the group stages, sneaking through with just three points from a possible nine after a trio of draws against Iceland, Austria and Hungary. A meeting with a hotly-tipped Croatia side in the last 16 produced a rather forgettable 0-0 draw, with the Iberians stealing a single goal with three minutes of added time to play with the game’s first shot on target. The tournament's draw specialists were at it again in the quarter final, producing a 1-1 draw with Poland before advancing on penalties.
- Euro debutants Wales topped their group following wins over Slovakia and Russia, but a last-gasp defeat to England stained what was otherwise a flawless showing. A narrow 1-0 win over neighbours Northern Ireland in the Round of 16 showed the Dragons were able to handle the pressure of knockout football, before a stunning come-from-behind victory over a Belgium side boasting a whole host of world-class talent left Chris Coleman’s side floating on cloud 9.
Portugal are yet to win a game in 90 minutes, drawing all of their matches in the tournament to date, and the possibility of a fifth game ending all square is priced at 21/10 with Bet365. The Iberian nation have relied on a mixture of luck, extra time and penalties to see them into their fifth European Championship semi-final, a stage at which they stumbled in 2012 following a defeat on penalties to Spain. BetVictor have Portugal priced at 9/1 to right their mistakes from four years ago and progress to the final thanks to a second penalty shootout, following their success against Poland.
Cristiano Ronaldo has suffered an infuriating tournament so far and was arguably the worst player on the pitch as his side played out a 1-1 draw with Poland. Nevertheless, Real Madrid’s all-time leading goalscorer is favoured by the bookmakers to break the deadlock at 10/3 with Coral. Portugal have only led for a combined total of 22 minutes throughout the competition, so a half time/full time bet of Draw/Portugal could be good value at 4/1 with SkyBet. It may also be worth keeping an eye on the corner count, with Portugal being awarded 39 in just five matches, the second-highest number at the tournament behind Belgium. William Hill have the Iberians priced at 13/10 to be awarded more than 6.5 corners.
Without a shadow of a doubt, this Welsh team will go down as the greatest in the nation’s history and while the players didn’t seem to celebrate their victory over Belgium with quite as much enthusiasm as they did when England crashed out to Iceland, this is still a massive achievement. The Dragons will come into this fixture as the underdogs, but will be determined to roar into the final with a win, an outcome that is 16/5 with Bet365, while Sky Bet are offering odds of 11/8 that Wales will qualify for Sunday’s final.
All eyes will be on Gareth Bale as he attempts to outshine Cristiano Ronaldo and deny him a second European Championship final appearance of his career. Bale is 11/2 with BetVictor to beat the Portuguese captain to the first goal, while William Hill have both men to score during the match at 7/1. Wales have excelled in front of goal in France, registering an average of two goals per game this summer and scoring in all five of their games. Bet365 have the men in red priced at 4/6 to pierce the Portuguese backline, while 888Sport have a Welsh win to nil at odds of 19/4. Ultimately though, this game could be a tight, cagey affair that may go way beyond the 90-minute mark, so don’t make any plans for an early night.
- Sports.net’s top tip: Either team to win on penalties 15/4 - Sky Bet
*Please note, odds are likely to fluctuate in the run up to kick-off