How the Bookies See it
The reigning World Champion, Marc Marquez, managed to extend what looks an already unassailable lead at the head of the World Standings to 67 points, following his second place finish at San Marino two weeks ago. Victory at Misano has seen Andrea Dovizioso move up into second-place in the title race, but only three points ahead of fellow Italian, Valentino Rossi, who sits in third.
MotorLand Aragón, which was first used for Grand Prix racing in 2010, became the sixth different circuit to be used in Spain for GP racing, alongside Jerez, Catalunya, Jarama, Montjuich and Valencia. The state-of-the-art venue opened in 2009, to continue the rich local heritage of racing which had seen years of exciting street races in nearby Alcañiz, a town that hosted racing events between 1963 and 2003.
Marc Marquez is favourite again to land this week’s GP at odds of 5/4, but it is another Spanish rider, Jorge Lorenzo, that helps him head the market as the 2/1 second-favourite. The in-form Andrea Dovizioso is a 7/2 third-favourite, whilst another Spaniard, Maverick Vinales, is being backed to do well on home soil as a 7/1 hope.
Marc Marquez continues to extend his lead at the top of the World Standings, despite having not won a race since Germany back in July. However, he has consistently picked up podium finishes in recent races in the Czech Republic, Austria and San Marino, to remain an ever-present threat. He first won in Spain in 2013 and has won it on the last two occasions, in 2016 and 2017, so is going for a hat-trick this week. Again, he is the one to beat.
Andrea Dovizioso got his season back on track when he won in the Czech Republic at the start of August, his first success since the opening race of the campaign. He has since gone on to finish third in Austria, before winning again two weeks ago in San Marino. That saw him move up to second-place in the World Standings. However, his record at Aragón is not great, with his best result being a fifth-place finish back in 2015. He will have to race well to compete with the Spaniards.
Jorge Lorenzo won at Aragón in 2014 and 2015, so knows this track and how to win on it. In fact, you have to go back to 2010 for the last time Lorenzo failed to make the podium – a brilliant record. He is sure to be a threat to Marquez in front of an expectant home crowd, who will be thrilled at the prospect of seeing their heroes battling it out for the race honours.
Last year at Aragón, five of the top six positions went to Spanish riders, so it is likely that the winner will be a Spaniard again. You have to go back seven races to find the last non-Spanish winner at Aragón. That was Casey Stoner in 2011, and the winner and runner-up have been Spanish every year since. Marquez and Lorenzo are masters on this track, but with the form Marquez is in, he remains the favourite.
Sports.net's Top Tip
It’s almost a foregone conclusion that Marquez or Lorenzo will take the top step on the podium, and that’s reflected in the odds. Find an each-way on Maverick Vinales at 12/1, however, and you could see a decent return without even backing the race winner. If you’re feeling a bit bolder, Dani Pedrosa also looks like a good each-way at 33/1. He’s not having the best of seasons, but he was runner-up in Spain last year.